THE WORLD WAR TWO GROUP discussion

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Ostkrieg
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2017 - January - Buddy Read - Ostkrieg




I am sure it may also be of interest to others involved in this group read :)

[bookcover:The Halder War Diary, 1939-1942|..."
The problem with the affordable copy, which I have, and the three volume set, which I have seen is how much information is lost.

Lee wrote: "Pamela wrote: " At what point in the war did the lack of oil start to really hinder the Germans?"
In one sense, it hindered them from the beginning: the Germans knew they needed to protect their s..."

'Aussie Rick' wrote: "In fact Lee/Pamela, the oil/fuel shortage may have started affecting Wehrmacht operations earlier than 1944. According to the author of Ostkrieg (page 237) during the planning for offensive options..."


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In reading Ostkreig and with all the economic and supply challenges the Germans faced in getting to the gates of Moscow, plus the unexpected continuing resilence of the Russians it does raise the question of how could Germany have ever invaded Russia and won. “Won� being a cessation of military action on terms dictated by Germany.
A big plus with Ostkrieg is that the depth of the research by Fritz and the clarity and detail of the constraints facing the Germans stimulates the reader to consider how could the outcome ever have been different. A number of authors have contended that Germany got very close to defeating the Russians (one more battalion at Stalingrad� etc) but from reding ostkrieg the impression is that success was never really likely.
So how could the Germans have defeated the Russians is a thought provoking question for all of us armchair strategists and probably worth a heading in its own right. Overy in his book “Why Germany lost the war� covers some of these issues also in broad strategic terms.
Working on the basis that the Germans needed to attack sooner rather than latter as Russia only going to get stronger (and threat of US intervention) here are a few thoughts of possible alternate approaches in “successfully� invading Russia
1) Take England out of the war whether by direct invasion or other options (see2) so that all German resources could be focussed upon the Soviets. Still doubtful that this option would have released enough military and industrial resources to make any difference and could have taken several years � and also leave Germany open to Russian action whilst engaged in the west
2) Pursue the Mediterraen option of capturing Egypt and the oil fields of the middle east and evicting England. Improves German fuel situation, probably delays invasion by only a year, possibly brings Turkey in on the German side and the possibility of attacking the Caucus oil fields via Turkey/Iraq (rather than the long way around).
3) Persuade the Japanese to attack Russia in the east (rather than the US) so diverting Russian military resources and potentially preventing the Moscow counter offensive of early December. Question of how many resources actually diverted. Whilst Moscow might have fallen to the Germans, possibly in spring of 1942 rather than late 1941, still would not have resolved challenges facing Germans of declining military capabilities and industrial and material constraints. Probably just delayed German defeat.
4) Focus on taking Moscow and not be diverted to Ukraine in Sept 1941. Whilst Germans most likely have taken Moscow would not have stopped Russians from pursuing the war and leave Army Group Centre vulnerable to flank attacks. And reduce German access to resources of Donets and oil regions.
5) Regime change � somehow remove Joseph Stalin from Soviet leadership with the view that his successors would sue for peace. Either through internal party action or external event recognising Stalin had so cowered all his colleagues that it would have been unlikely to occur internally. For the Germans an attempt to replicate the situation in France in 1940 where lack of political and military leadership and commitment assisted the Germans mightily. As many commentators have noted doubtful that any democracy would have sustained the fight against the invading Germans given the shock and awe and brutality of the opening weeks of the campaign and initial dramatic successes. Would Stalin’s removal have lead to a more accommodating Russian leadership and indeed would Hitler have agreed to any option other than unconditional surrender
Other options include such as awaiting until 1943 when economy fully running and re-armament completed (still doubtful) or a combination of approaches eg Mediteraen option plus Japanese involvement .
Interested in others input




I think point one is interesting Alex.
If Britain was removed then it does add an angle on erasing any likelihood of US/Canadian seaborne supply into Britain and then onward to Russia, and of course removes the supply of British made munitions, weapons and other equipment by sea to Russia too.
The US/Canada could supply via Alaska and Pacific sea routes but I wonder how achievable in scale of requirements including cost (money, ships and men) that would have been.
Thanks for posting and asking the questions.


I'd argue the opposite of #2: ignore the Mediterranean, and do not send anything across the sea. Lean on Mussolini to leave it alone, as well. If possible, do not let him pick a fight with the Greeks, either. Then sit back and dare the British to do anything about it. Before late 1942, there is nowhere near enough shipping for Britain (and the US) to land seriously anywhere on the Mediterranean coasts.
On the other side, all of the forces spent in North Africa become available for operations in Russia: perhaps a whole army of Italians, certainly their armored corps. The two cobbled-together panzer divisions of the Afrika Korps, plus the earlier arrival of the 2nd & 5th Panzer Divisions, which were badly delayed by the Balkans campaign and British naval action. Many planes and aircrews, German and Italian.
Point 4, I would argue for keeping the Ukrainian operations as is, but taking Leningrad instead of Moscow in the autumn. My limited wargaming experience has been that with Leningrad in the bag in 1941, Moscow becomes a viable target in 1942.

I never like 'what ifs' and 'could have beens' I prefer straight history :)

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Here is a book that I am yet to read of the fighting around Viaz'ma during Operation Typhoon:


Fritzs analysis of the respective losses of the Soviets and Germans in manpower, tanks and planes from the Battle of Kursk are quite an eyeopener. He provides a completely different perspective of the impact of the battle with the tank losses by the Germans despite the "verdun" nature of the fighting as being quite small. In contrast the Russians had horrendous losses particularly on the 12th of July at the head on clash of tanks. Frietz concludes that the Germans definitely won this encounter although other strategic considerations (e.g. invasion of sicily, Russian counteroffensive at Orel)) led to Hitler calling Citadel off. The figures Fritz provides for the respective losses both on central and southern front are heavily weighted against the Germans.
Of course however by this stage every loss by the Germans on the Easternfront was unlikely to be replaced given requirements on western front and few resources. In contrast Soviets going from strength to strength and with every German retreat leading to more now freed Russians being available to the Red Army.
Despite the valour and skill of the Germans and their ability to inflict high casualties on the Russians by late 1943 they had no option but to continue to retreat. As the army became less mobile and more static, and ran out of reserves the front of the Ostheer in Fritz's words cannot but help to fragment. Again few German losses are covered and despite increasing armament production the Russian steamroller, aided by lend lease supplies cannot be stopped.
But as Aussie Ric notes the losses of the Russians are simply huge.


With all Hitler's focus on securing the Caucaus oil in 1942 I wonder what the conditions of the oilfields would have been even if the Germans had been successful in reaching the oilfield given the destruction the Soviets made to the Maikop oilfields on retreating (Fritz quotes Geramn engineers as saying it would have taken at least six months to get Maikop oil production up and running after repairs)
There would also be the logistics of transporting the oil to the refineries in the balkans for refinering presuming the russian refineries destroyed.
Of course German possession of the oil fields, even if not producing anything would have significant impacts for the Russians as well given Fritz comments 90% of their oil came from the Caucuas




Your comments about the depth of the issues covered by the author is quite valid and one reason why this book has been so enjoyable to read so far. As Alex also mentioned the further you get into the book the author tends to challenge some previous held views on the war in the East.

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For those interested in further reading on the Einsatzgruppen can check this book out:


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Read my book Occupation and Insurgency, you will find it interesting I believe.

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Second Battle of Kharkov:

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I don't have it but your posts have made me want to read it. Very informative.

I just started it today. I'm afraid I am pretty far behind at this point. Some very interesting discussion points have been made so far. I'm looking forward to getting into the book.


To me the selling point of the book was the access to recently released Russian material on the war which in a number of key areas re-interprets accepted wisdoms such as the outcome of the “clash of tanks� at Kursk where he contends the German loss of tanks much lower than originally canvassed. As such decisions to break off action are made for strategic reasons unrelated to Citadel (eg invasion of Sicily)
Weaknesses of the book include the lack of relatively detailed campaign maps particularly as the Germans retreat, the brief mention of the Mars campaign and the focus on the German effort means we lack insights into some of the difficulties the Russians were facing.
Fritz highlights how un-prepared the German economy and military forces were for WW2 and that the stunning and un–expected victory over France actually lead Germany into a strategic cul-de-sac. Illustrates how Germany lost the strategic initiative after victory as deliberated over next steps and struggled to understand why Britain did not accept peace treaty.
Rather than Hitler jumping immediately to the conclusion that invading Russia should be a priority Fritz considers that Hitler came to this conclusion from a strategic perspective that also built on his long standing ideological opposition to the Soviet Bolshevik/Jewish “conspiracy� Strategic influences include narrow window of opportunity for military action before US entry into war, Soviet Union designs on Baltic and Balkans and rejection of the
The initial chapters of the book upto the failure of Barbarossa at Moscow not only cover the military campaign but also focuses in depth how there was a certain inevitability about the German decision to commit its captured Jewish population to large scale industrial murder as other options (eg emigration) were no longer viable. Once the genocide commences the book does then focus much more on the military aspects of the war. Fritz does highlight how the majority of the deaths from the extermination camps occurred in 1942/early 1943, not a drawn out process over the war as I had always believed.
In reading Ostkreig and with all the economic and supply challenges the Germans faced in getting to the gates of Moscow, plus the unexpected continuing resilence of the Russians it does raise the question of how could Germany have ever invaded Russia and won.
A number of authors have contended that Germany got very close to defeating the Russians (one more battalion at Stalingrad� etc) but from reading ostkrieg the impression is that success was never really likely. The initial problems with supply capabilities and poor armaments supply become more and more compounded by strategic and tactical mistakes by Hitler and senior military commanders as the war progresses.
Fritz is particularly scathing of the German decision in the summer of 1942 to split forces in attempting to take both the oil supplies of the Caucaus and Stalingrad. As Fritz notes this threw away Germany’s last chance to win the war before US entry and also typified the constant under-estimation by senior German commanders of their opponents. As a result the defeat at Stalingrad “marked a “point of no return�, rather than a turning point “as the Germans plunged into the abysss.”�
Ostkrieg highlights at length the sheer enormous cost in lives of the war on the eastern front and that even as the Germans were retreating the Soviets were still prepared to accept enormous and one sided losses. Psot Stalingrad the Germans could not afford any losses whilst the Russians were going from strength to strength as they recruited new soldiers from the liberated territories and the benefits of Western aid flowed in. For example at page 384 Fritz quotes Foreign Armies East figures that the Russians had lost 1.2 million men in last four months of 1943 (cf approx 250,000 Germans) but strength of Red Army grown to 5.5 ml troops.
Even in the assault on Berlin Fritz contends the Russians were loosing on a daily basis more tanks than at Kursk. He highlights how whilst the Russians were trying to replicate the German approaches towards deep armoured penetration they still continued to focus on frontal military assaults with consequent losses. It is not until Operation Bagration that the Russians put all their lessons together to crush Army Group Centre in a manner similar to the operations of the German panzers in 1941.
Ultimately failure of Barbarossa arose from number of factors: lack of clear campaign objective, distant and contradictory targets, resilence of Russian troops and geographical challenges, consistent under-estimations of military resources required for given tasks and shortfall of the German economy and resource endownments. Constraints in raw materials became dominant from an early stage of the campaign as did difficulties with supply with often choices between either munitions, fuel or food � but not all three.
From the invasion of Russia and the supply constraints before Moscow to the lack of petrol in the 1942 campaigns Fritz highlights how the Germans never really got on top of the physical constraints of Russia to keep their troops supplied with food and weapons. Faced similar difficulties in the Middle East and quite an indictment of German planning.
As the war progressed and supplies tightened the German army do-motorised. As other authors have noted the vast majority of German soldiers entered Russia on foot, relying on horse drawn supplies, as had been the case with Napoleonic forces in 1812. As such the German army was a metal tipped fragile lance.
But like Robert Kershaw it highlights that the Ostheer essentially � victored itself to death� with every campaign success in 1941 and 1942 limiting the ability to achieve the next success. Citano has written some recent books on how the typical German approach to war � focus on encirclement, limited campaigns with logistics secondary - found its failing in WW2, particularly in Russia as it became a war of attrition, ill suited to the German economy.
I would recommend this book to those first approaching the Eastern front to those who want to explore some of the factors behind the German defeat in more detail. I am so impressed by the scholarly and articulate approach of Stephen Fritz that I will be lining upto buy some of his other books on the Third Reich

I have ordered it from the library and am hoping they can find me a copy, will know if I'm successful by the 2nd Tuesday when the bookmobile arrives.

I just started it today. I'm afraid I am pretty far behind at this point. Some very..."
I'm not reading this one Jill but have enjoyed the discussion so far and please add yur own thoughts and views in as you go along.

I liked how the author put to rest the myth of 'the death ride of the panzers' in his discussion on Kursk.
Here is a pretty good article on Kursk:
A review on the book; Blood, Steel, & Myth: The II. SS Panzer Corps and the Road to Prochorowka by George Nipe:


Alex wrote: "I have now finished Ostkrieg and rate it highly for the comprehensive nature of its discussion of the Eastern Front , particularly its multi-prong approach which covers a lot of issues and stimulat..."





I hope you enjoy Barbarossa, it should give you a good basic understanding of the campaign in the east. In regards to Ostkrieg I think if they had placed maps throughout the book when discussing the various campaigns and battles that would have made things easier to follow. Stick with it as its worth the effort :)
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Slightly off-piste Pamela but you may also enjoy this. I thought it a good German depiction of five friends and how the war shaped and changed their lives including serving on the Eastern Front:

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Books mentioned in this topic
IN A RAGING INFERNO: Combat Units of the Hitler Youth 1944-45 (other topics)WN 62: A German Soldier's Memories of the Defence of Omaha Beach, Normandy, June 6 (other topics)
Barbarossa (other topics)
BLOOD, STEEL, AND MYTH: The II.SS-Panzer-Korps and the Road to Prochorowka (other topics)
Masters of Death: The SS-Einsatzgruppen and the Invention of the Holocaust (other topics)
More...
Authors mentioned in this topic
Hans Holzträger (other topics)Alan Clark (other topics)
George M. Nipe (other topics)
Richard Rhodes (other topics)
Lev Lopukhovsky (other topics)
More...
(view spoiler)["Local objections forced a reduction in the number of deportation trains leaving Germany in the late autumn, but the transports themselves could not be stopped entirely, despite the fact that they contributed to a severe shortage of railcars and bottlenecks in the transportation system crippling the German advance toward Moscow. Bock protested the continuing presence of 'Jew trains,' fearing that the 'arrival of these trains must result in the loss of an equal number of trains vital to supplying the attack,' but to little avail." (hide spoiler)]
Which brings me to mention this book that may be of interest on this subject: