A Game of Thrones
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Anyone else wonder if the Long Winters are caused by Axial Procession?
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One: A natural phenomenon like axial procession would be more or less predictable. But the seasons in Westeros are completely unpredictable.
Two: GRRM has specifically said that the problem with the seasons is magical in nature. Presumably, the reason will be revealed in the last book.

One: A natural phenomenon like ..."
Magical is kind of what I meant. The seasons symbolize the struggles and changes in the story.



Matthew wrote: "There's been no indication either way about how the seasons effect Essos."
Essos seems to be experiencing autumn as well in ADWD, with winter approaching - for instance, Dany notices in her last chapter of that book that the grass in the Dothraki sea is dying. It's not clear whether this is a normal (i.e. earthlike) winter or the magical super-winter as in Westeros.
But in any case, Essos would not be as badly affected by winter as Westeros. Even the northernmost parts of Essos (Braavos, Ibben) are at the same latitude as the Vale in Westeros, and the southernmost (Slaver's Bay, Volantis) are even further south than Dorne (where it doesn't even snow in winter). The interior regions (the Dothraki sea) which would be worst affected by winter are populated mainly by the Dothraki, who presumably move south in winter. So probably, even a super-winter would not trouble most parts of Essos as much as it would Westeros.

Matthew wrote: "There's been no indication either way..."
Well observed. And very detailed (I mean very!) I do have one thought to add. The Summer Islands, so named because in their geographical location in the south seas between Westeros and Essos, they are perennial experiencing warm, sunny weather?

Not really, but wouldn't that be awesome?


With all that in mind, if one were looking for some sort of astronomical influence, I think one would have to throw in some dark planetary body on a wild elliptical orbit--maybe even two--in order to justify the unpredictability of the seasons. If there were some sort of eclipsing effect from a possible third dark body then one could have this strange, unpredictable Winter.
Of course, that doesn't explain why it would be affecting Westeros more than the rest of the planet, so... magic. Still, it's an interesting speculation.
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Just as with a spinning top the axis of the Earth's rotation wobbles a bit making a complete Axial Precession once every 26,000 years or so. Some speculate that Ice Ages are caused in part by this variation.
Whatever planet George R.R. Martin's A Game of Thrones is set on could be affected by being on a planet where that variation in that wobble is more frequent than on Earth.